2009-2010 Player Evaluation: J.J. Redick | Magic Basketball

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Jun 08

2009-2010 Player Evaluation: J.J. Redick

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Photo by Doug Benc/Getty Images

Synergy-fueled player evaluations, with the help of other metrics, are always fun.

Today, the shooting guards.

2009-2010 regular season J.J. Redick
Games Played 82
Minutes Played 22.0
adj. +/- -9.19
net +/- -6.1
statistical +/- +0.99
PER 15.0
WARP 2.1
Win Shares/48 .173





Perhaps no one else on the Orlando Magic, aside from Dwight Howard, had a more impressive year than J.J. Redick. It took Redick a few years to carve out a niche for himself in the NBA but it’s clear, especially after his performance in the 2010 NBA Eastern Conference Semfinals against the Boston Celtics, that he can serve as a key role player or even as a starter on a championship-level team.

Redick’s future with the Magic is up in the air right now, given that he’s a restricted free agent. But there’s no doubt that general manager Otis Smith will do everything in his power to work out a deal and retain Redick. Just a year ago, Smith allegedly attempted to insert Redick in a trade that eventually sent Courtney Lee, among other players, to the New Jersey Nets for Vince Carter and Ryan Anderson. Now? Redick is untouchable.

It’s amazing how things change.



Via Synergy Sports Technology:

2009-2010 regular season Time Poss. PPP* Rank Rating
OVERALL OFFENSE 100% 701 1.12 98% Excellent
Spot-Up 32.5% 228 1.20 94% Excellent
P&R Ball Handler 22.1% 155 0.97 88% Excellent
Transition 16% 112 1.29 75% Very Good
Off Screen 10% 70 1.00 80% Very Good


TS% eFG% TRB% AST% TOV% USG% ORtg
.606 .540 5.0 13.9 8.8 18.3 123

Offense
Even though people have begun to realize that Redick is a good player, there’s still a lot of things he doesn’t get enough credit for. And one of those things is his offense. Sure, Redick is widely accepted as one of the purest shooters in the league but not everyone knows how much of an underrated playmaker he has become. The numbers provided by Synergy, for example, speak volumes as to how efficient Redick is offensively in a variety of play-types. It can’t be understated that, with his confidence level the highest its ever been, Redick shot the ball like it was expected of him when he left Duke in 2006.

Not only that, but Redick proved his worth on offense in the Eastern Conference Finals when the stakes were at their highest. Despite the Celtics’ stingy defense, Redick didn’t have too many troubles scoring.

Redick isn’t going to break down his defender like Tim Hardaway or anyone of that caliber from a ball-handling perspective. However, that doesn’t mean that Redick can’t create off the dribble because he can. Time and again, Redick showed that he’s more than capable of creating offensively for himself when necessary. Redick is at his best when he’s executing pick and rolls, spotting up on the perimeter for catch-and-shoot opportunities, or coming off screens for jumpers. At this stage in his career, Redick’s game on offense is versatile and it’s one of the reasons he’s been able to survive and now thrive with Orlando.



Via Synergy Sports Technology:

2009-2010 regular season Time Poss. PPP* Rank Rating
OVERALL DEFENSE 100% 553 0.92 36% Average
Spot-Up 25.5% 141 1.15 13% Poor
P&R Ball Handler 25% 138 0.86 38% Average
Isolation 21.2% 117 0.80 64% Good
Off Screen 14.1% 78 0.83 62% Good


net def. +/- dMULT opp. PER TRB% STL% BLK%
+4.56 0.944 14.4 (vs. SG’s) 5.0 0.8 0.2

Defense
Redick would be the first to tell you that he’s not a great defender but he’s not a liability, either. There are some physical limitations that Redick will forever be unable to escape, like his strength and size when asked to defend bigger guards than him or close out on shooters, but he can make up for it with his basketball IQ and defensive awareness. Defending is a lot about desire and effort, and those are two qualities that Redick isn’t lacking in.

Closing thoughts
It was a career year for Redick and the thing is, he was always capable of playing like this. Until last season, Redick never got a consistent opportunity to show what he could do on the court. However, after Redick opened eyes in the 2009 NBA Playoffs, it was clear that the Magic had themselves a player. Thus, Redick rewarded head coach Stan Van Gundy‘s trust this year by posting career-high numbers across the board.

The fact that Redick has openly stated many times that he would like to continue to play for the Magic and even be content continuing his current role, as opposed to starting with another team, shows how much winning means to him. That seems like a trait that should apply to all players but sometimes it doesn’t. Redick’s desire, not only to win but to always improve as a player, is one of many reasons why Orlando will make sure to re-sign him.

Oh, and it doesn’t hurt that Redick has become one of the best role players in the NBA.

*points per possession

Grade: A-

7 comments
Eddy Rivera
Eddy Rivera

@GGW

Heh.

Credit Synergy for the "inflation" ... as for Redick, I doubt he'll leave the Magic even if Carter is still around. Redick openly stated that he'd be content re-signing and maintaining his current role, so clearly he doesn't care if he starts or not.

GGW
GGW

The reason that Redick might consider leaving Orlando is because the Magic will continue to give most of the minutes to a remarkably overrated player named Vince Carter.

GGW
GGW

Interesting that 38th percentile, 12 below 50, is "average."

But 62nd percentile, 12 above 50, is "good."

A little grade inflation. Just like I remember (with appreciation) at Duke!

Eddy Rivera
Eddy Rivera

@Ryan

I doubt that. Wade isn't going anywhere. Pat Riley won't let him leave.

Ryan
Ryan

And its even more unlikely that Wade will stay in Miami.

Eddy Rivera
Eddy Rivera

@Josh

It's highly unlikely that Redick will leave the Magic.

Josh
Josh

If Redick wants to win he'll seriously consider going to Miami and joining up with Wade, Bosh, Haslem, and Arroyo. Orlando is stuck without a scorer that will go hard to the basket at the 3.