2009-2010 Draft Evaluation: Stanley Robinson | Magic Basketball

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Jun 27

2009-2010 Draft Evaluation: Stanley Robinson

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Tony Spinelli/ESPN.com

Synergy-fueled player evaluations, with the help of other metrics, are always fun.

Today, Stanley Robinson.

2009-2010 regular season Stanley Robinson
Games Played 34
Minutes Played 34.2
PPG 14.5
RPG 7.6
BPG 1.2
FG% .525
3P% .342
PER 20.48
projected PER N/A





In the days leading up to the 2010 NBA Draft, general manager Otis Smith talked a lot about acquiring the best players available. That was Smith’s draft philosophy and he stayed true to his word on Thursday, when he drafted Daniel Orton and Stanley Robinson. Neither Orton nor Robinson worked out with the Orlando Magic, but they were expected to be selected much sooner in the draft than they were and here they are. Sure, some Magic fans were puzzled that Smith didn’t choose a point guard or someone of that ilk. However, this was a classic case of Smith acquiring talent over need. Orton and Robinson were value picks, more or less.

For an individual like Robinson in particular, there’s no question that he’s talented but is he a good fit for Orlando? Maybe. There’s a number of ways for players to have success in the NBA and for Robinson, it seems like he’ll have a chance to make his mark thanks in large part to his ridiculous athleticism. A quick browse on YouTube for highlights of Robinson when he played at Connecticut will show a player that can jump out of the gym. That’s great from Robinson’s perspective because one of the ways he can survive and thrive in the NBA is by utilizing the athleticism he has on both ends of the floor. However, there are questions as to whether or not Robinson has the tools to not only be successful in the league but with the Magic.



Via Synergy Sports Technology:

2009-2010 regular season Time Poss. PPP* Rank Rating
OVERALL OFFENSE 100% 503 0.96 81% Very Good
Isolation 18.1% 91 1.28 82% Very Good
Spot-Up 16.9% 85 1.02 82% Very Good
Offensive Rebound (put backs) 15.1% 76 1.08 80% Good
Cut 14.5% 73 1.26 69% Very Good


TS% eFG% TRB% AST% TOV% USG% ORtg
.570 .559 11.4 6.4 13.9 17.7 107

Offense
It should come as no surprise that Robinson is at his best in transition, where his athletic abilities combined with good body control allows him to finish at the rim with relative ease. Because Robinson’s athleticism is off the charts, he shouldn’t have too much trouble finishing around the basket in the NBA.

Even Robinson’s ability to spot-up and make jumpers is good news for Orlando. But it should be mentioned that Robinson is much more prone to missing shots when he’s guarded (25 percent) than when he’s unguarded (46.7 percent). Plus, Robinson’s shooting form can get out of whack if his feet aren’t set. Those are some of the things that Robinson will need to work on in the league, but particularly his ability to hit shots when contested.

If there’s a red flag that jumps out the most when examining how Robinson can fit with the Magic, it’s his ability to hit three-pointers at a high clip. Now granted, Robinson did shoot 41.8 percent from three-point range in 2008 but that number dipped to 34.2 percent in 2010. There’s no question that Robinson has to be able to hit threes from NBA range with regularity if he wants to stick around. Fortunately for Robinson, that’s a skill he can learn because not every player entering the league was a lights-out shooter from beyond the arc.

There’s other things to like about Robinson’s game offensively, like his ability to attack the basket whether it’s via put-backs or cuts to the basket. Yet there’s no question that Robinson has some work to do with his offense. It bears repeating — Robinson’s athleticism is unquestioned, but he struggles to create offensively for himself or for others (his low assist percentage is a giveaway), and part of that is his mediocre ball-handling skills. Consequently, Robinson doesn’t get to the free-throw line as much as he should, given that he’s limited with the basketball in his hands. Problem is, when Robinson does get to the charity stripe, he’s a sub-70 percent shooter. Needless to say, these are some of the skills Robinson will need to fine-tune in the off-season so that he’ll be able to make the roster for Orlando and contribute down the road.



Via Synergy Sports Technology:

2009-2010 regular season Time Poss. PPP* Rank Rating
OVERALL DEFENSE 100% 283 0.77 66% Good
Spot-Up 30% 85 0.86 59% Very Good
Isolation 19.4% 55 0.53 80% Average
P&R Ball Handler 18% 51 0.80 41% Average
P&R Ball Handler (Big Defender) 17.7% 50 0.82 45% Average


TRB% STL% BLK%
11.4 1.5 3.2

Defense
The good news for head coach Stan Van Gundy, more than anything else, is that Robinson has the tools to be a force defensively because of his lateral quickness and wingspan, even when taking into his account his slight frame. The effort is there from Robinson and that could go a long way in helping him make an impact on defense with the Magic. Robinson has the physical tools and even some of the fundamentals accounted for on defense, but his awareness and consistency could improve. Still, that’s something that Van Gundy can help Robinson with.

If there’s one thing Orlando is lacking, it’s athletic and versatile perimeter defenders. Yes, Robinson has a ways to go but it’s possible he could fill that role.

Closing thoughts
Like any player selected in the second round of the draft, Robinson has a lot of things he needs to work on to be successful in the NBA. One of the most important things for Robinson, especially with the Magic, is for him to be able to develop a consistent jumper from three-point range and become a more efficient player on offense. That way Robinson can be productive offensively not just in transition but in half-court, which is where players in the league make their living on a nightly basis. Transition offense is only a portion of the game and even though Robinson excels in that aspect, it’s his perimeter play that will need polish. Likewise, Robinson will need to improve with his ball-handing skills, that way he can create off the dribble whether it’s in isolation or in pick and rolls. J.J. Redick is a prime example that the improvement is possible if the hard work is put in. If Robinson can develop a steady handle, with his athleticism, there’s no reason why he can’t potentially wreak havoc in the lane on a consistent basis.

Robinson projects to be nothing more than a role player but with Orlando, that’s okay. The pressure isn’t on Robinson to succeed right away. Robinson just needs to show progress and fortunately for him, he’ll have the benefit of learning from Van Gundy and working with strength and conditioning coach Joe Rogowski — who’s underrated, by the way — to help him add some bulk to his body. Again, there some things that Robinson has to work on if he wants to be a success story in the league, but clearly he’s in a great situation where he can soak up knowledge from veterans on the Magic. As such, the potential is there for Robinson to find a niche in the NBA.

*points per possession

3 comments
Eddy Rivera
Eddy Rivera

@Will

Thanks.

@Billy (slickw143)

I think Robinson has a decent shot at having a future with the Magic.

Billy (slickw143)
Billy (slickw143)

"As such, the potential is there for Robinson to find a niche in the NBA." I hope so, and especially that it's with the Magic. I've always wanted a decent player from the school of my home state playing on the Magic.

Will
Will

Thumbs up!