Magic Basketball: An Orlando Magic blog - Part 80

Nov 30

#ORLrank 6: Ryan Anderson

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Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

 

G MP PER VORP WARP WS/82
2011-2012 61 1964 21.2 3.72 14.0 11.9
Ryan Anderson’s best season with the Magic

 
The Orlando saga for Ryan Anderson was really a story with two parts.

When Anderson first came into the league, scouting reports on him said his quickness was a concern and he wasn’t big or physical enough. His size was a plus and he did show excellent range with his shot, but scouts and analysts alike seemingly had him destined for marginality.

The second half of the story is all about how Anderson improved his game, blew presuppositions of himself out of the water, and became one of the most productive players in Orlando franchise history. Moreover, it’s about how he adapted to the league and put himself, by all accounts, as one of the more valued players in the entire Association.

Some players come into the league and have all the tools to find their way almost immediately. Others have to change their approach, add new tools, and totally reconstruct their game to find success. For Anderson, finding success in the league was merely a matter of expanding on his tools, maximizing existing parts of his game, and making sure he did everything in his power to be where he needed to be when his (or anyone else’s) number was called.

What no scouting report could have predicted was Anderson’s drive and niche-finding ability. He worked on his shot, improved on his footwork, and, most importantly, got extremely crafty on the boards. We saw this eclipse last year in what was his most productive year yet. His PER of 21.2 and WARP of 14.0 were a career-best, firmly placing him in the “must-have” category for stretch fours in the league.

As for his three-point shooting? Anderson completed his last two seasons with the Magic shooting 39.3 percent from deep and has already started this season in New Orleans at 44.7 percent after 11 games. While he’s not torching everyone in the league by any means, Anderson finds himself as one of the top three-point shooters in the NBA, which only makes him more dangerous as a stretch four.

The best part about Ryan Anderson has less to do with his numbers and individual standing in the league, though. Rather than one outstanding statistic that tells us all we need to know about him, the fact that Anderson, in just four seasons (now entering his fifth season in the league), transformed himself from an average bench player to an excellent role player and starter (and a guy who you really want on your team), is amazing. It’s the biggest reason he ranks in the top 10 of #ORLrank.

To find your role is one thing. To fill a role that basically stems from Stan Van Gundy’s 4-out, 1-in offensive system and excel at that role is something else altogether. Anderson did that, and that is why, even if his time with Orlando was brief, he belongs in the same conversation as those tenured names we think of when we talk about great players in Magic franchise history.

Voter breakdown for Ryan Anderson

Drexler Highkin Rivera Schiller Scribbins
Scale (1-to-10) 5 8 6 6 10
Average rank: 7.0

What is #ORLrank?

Magic Basketball ranks the top 10 players in Magic franchise history. #ORLrank is the Twitter hashtag to use if you want to get involved in the discussion or just follow along.

You can also follow along here: @erivera7

How did we rank the players?

Five MBN writers ranked each player 1-to-10, in terms of the quality of each player.

Thanks to Daniel Myers, Neil Paine of Basketball-Reference, and Kevin Pelton of Basketball Prospectus for contributing to the project.

Nov 29

Jacque Vaughn’s bright future

Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

When the Magic announced the hiring of Jacque Vaughn to replace Stan Van Gundy this summer, I wrote that it made sense for a team that was, more or less, completely starting over from scratch to hire a coach with an equally clean record.

As soon as Dwight Howard and Ryan Anderson were traded during the offseason, it was clear that this team was headed for the cellar of the Eastern Conference and that this season would be more about finding and developing young talent than trying to make the playoffs.

That reality could have led to this season being an unwatchable disaster. In some instances, it’s been all too apparent that this team doesn’t have the talent to compete with the better teams. But I’ve enjoyed following this team a lot more than I anticipated and Vaughn deserves a lot of the credit for that.

In watching the way this undermanned team start at a better-than-anticipated 5-8 record and lose some competitive games, I’m reminded of the impact Monty Williams had last season on a New Orleans Hornets team in a similar situation.

Williams was a lot like Vaughn when he was first hired by the Hornets in 2009: a relatively young former player who had nothing but endorsements as an assistant under one of the more respected coaches in the league. Williams cut his teeth under Nate McMillan in Portland. Vaughn came from the unassailable Gregg Popovich factory.

Read the rest of this entry »

Nov 28

Recap: San Antonio Spurs 110, Orlando Magic 89

AP Photo/John Raoux

BOX SCORE

Under Stan Van Gundy, the calling card for the Orlando Magic was not only their defense but their three-point shooting. In four of the five seasons that Van Gundy coached the Magic, they ranked first in three-point field goal attempts. And in the year Orlando didn’t rank first (which was Van Gundy’s first season in 2008), they ranked second.

Not coincidentally, the Magic avoided long twos like the plague. Orlando finished with the fewest field goal attempts from 16-23 feet in four of the five years spent under Van Gundy’s watchful eye. Last season, the Magic finished with the second-fewest attempts behind the Denver Nuggets.

Consequently, Orlando ranked seventh, 11th, fourth, 14th, and 15th in Offensive Rating during Van Gundy’s tenure.

This season, the Magic rank 27th in three-point field goal attempts and seventh in field goal attempts from 16-23 feet. Orlando’s Offensive Rating as a result? 28th as of Wednesday.

What does this all have to do with the Magic’s loss to the San Antonio Spurs?

It’s a microcosm of how Orlando lost to the Spurs.

It’s not a shock that San Antonio won. The Spurs are better than the Magic — plain and simple. But what stood out the most in tonight’s game was the contrast in approaches offensively. San Antonio looked to shoot three-pointers, while Orlando looked to score in the paint. At the end of the game, the Spurs had shot 11-for-25 from three-point range, while the Magic shot 2-for-15. With San Antonio winning by 21, that 27-point differential in three-point shooting is the reason why Orlando got blown out.

It’s hard not to see the irony in the Magic losing because the Spurs outgunned them from behind the three-point line. Unfortunately for Orlando, that trend likely will continue. And this should come as no surprise, given that the Magic’s three-point shooting identity went out the window the moment Van Gundy was fired.

Orlando’s inability to get to the free-throw line (dead-last in free-throw rate this season) compared to previous seasons has also been an issue. Case in point — the Magic shot eight free-throws against San Antonio. With no Dwight Howard earning trips to the free-throw line, that’s another source of offense that has dried up.

For Orlando, games like these shed light on that change in offensive philosophy and the negative repercussions that come with it.

MVP (Most Valuable Player)

Manu Ginobili finished with 20 points, five assists, and four rebounds to lead the way for the Spurs. Ginobili’s shot distribution resided strictly behind the three-point line, as all six of his field goals were three-pointers.

Defining Moment

After trailing 14-10 midway through the first quarter, San Antonio finished the period on a 19-4 run. Ginobili was the catalyst, scoring 12 of the Spurs’ 19 points. From there, San Antonio cruised to a double-digit victory.

That Was … Expected

The Spurs entered the game as one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Facing off against an inferior opponent in the Magic, it’s no surprise that San Antonio won handily and extended their winning streak to five.

Nov 28

Preview: San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic

Essentials

  • Teams: San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic
  • Date: November 28, 2012
  • Time: 7:00 p.m.
  • Television: Fox Sports Florida
  • Arena: Amway Center

Records

  • Spurs: 12-3
  • Magic: 5-8

Probable starters

Spurs:

  • Tony Parker
  • Gary Neal
  • Danny Green
  • DeJuan Blair
  • Tim Duncan

Magic:

  • Jameer Nelson
  • Arron Afflalo
  • Maurice Harkless
  • Glen Davis
  • Nikola Vucevic

Advanced stats

Spurs:

  • Pace: 92.7 (10th of 30)
  • Offensive Rating: 108.6 (5th of 30)
  • Defensive Rating: 101.5 (5th of 30)

Magic:

  • Pace: 92.5 (12th of 30)
  • Offensive Rating: 98.4 (28th of 30)
  • Defensive Rating: 102.2 (8th of 30)

Read about the Spurs

48 Minutes of Hell

Nov 26

Monday’s Magic Word

  • Paul Pierce got shook by Jameer Nelson in Sunday’s game between the Orlando Magic and Boston Celtics.
  • Kelly Dwyer of Ball Don’t Lie: “Quite a few pundits, myself included, predicted the Magic to end the season with one of the lowest win totals in the NBA during 2012-13. We thought that the roster was still full of passable NBA players, the team wasn’t rebuilding with total scrubs, but only a coach that could secure a game-to-game output that was bigger than the sum of its parts could hope to stay competitive. And this is exactly what Magic coach Jacque Vaughn is doing as he leads his team toward competency, if not a winning record.”
  • Marc Stein of ESPN.com: “Any relief the Magic feel about refusing to take back Andrew Bynum in the Dwight Howard deal has to be classified as conditional. What happens if Brook Lopez, whom they also could have snagged, keeps progressing from his current groove?”
  • Should head coach Jacque Vaughn be playing to win or playing to develop the Magic’s young players?
  • Orlando put up a fight against the Celtics in an overtime loss on Sunday.
  • Glen Davis compares Vaughn to Gandhi.
  • It’s clear that the Magic dodged a bullet with Andrew Bynum (out indefinitely). But will Orlando regret passing up on acquiring Brook Lopez when deciding to trade Dwight Howard? He’s currently on pace to have the best season of his career this year.
  • See Big Baby hustle. Or as Rob Mahoney of The Point Foward aptly puts it: “There’s good effort, there’s reckless hustle and then there’s Glen Davis.”
  • “The Magic continue to be surprisingly not that awful.”
  • Josh McRobert’s new nickname is “Mr. Versatile.”

Nov 26

The return of Josh McRoberts

Photo by Fernando Medina/NBAE via Getty Images

Josh McRoberts was due for a bounce-back season. After a solid campaign on the upstart 2010-11 Pacers, the Duke product signed a two-year deal with the Lakers and was expected to help offset the loss of Lamar Odom as the team’s third big man.

Yes, the idea of McRoberts replacing the Odom coming off a career year in L.A. (in which he won the Sixth Man of the Year award) may draw the ire of quite a few pro-Lamar readers, but while there’s a vast difference between the two in quality, the idea is similar. McRoberts is an excellent passer for a big and can capably stretch the floor. While he lacks Odom’s creativity and versatility, his athleticism was projected to be a huge boon for the aging Lakers and optimists everywhere could reasonably envision him being a good fit in a system built around ball movement.

Well, optimists everywhere were disappointed. McRoberts’ playmaking abilities were more than offset by his propensity for infuriating turnovers — the Pacers-Bulls first round series in the 2011 NBA Playoffs still conjures up ghastly images of Josh giving away crunch time possessions to any and every applicant –- and any other offensive benefits were lost as an unspectacular True Shooting percentage of 51.6 percent was enhanced by an infuriating reluctance to take shots. McRoberts took just 5.9 field goal attempts per 36 minutes, essentially taking himself out of the game on the one end where his contributions were a positive.

And so Josh arrived in Orlando, a throw-in in a blockbuster trade playing for his reputation and his next contract. So far, the results have been encouraging.

Read the rest of this entry »

Nov 26

Recap: Boston Celtics 116, Orlando Magic 110 (OT)

AP Photo/Scott Iskowitz

BOX SCORE

With a rookie head coach (Jacque Vaughn) and 10 new faces on the roster, Magic fans have been tempted to use the “Heart and Hustle II” nickname early in the season.

The original “Heart and Hustle” team in the 1999-2000 season, also led by a rookie head coach (Doc Rivers) and a ragtag group of players (many of them inexperienced or unknown), won over a Magic fan base still dealing with the after-effects of the departures of two franchise players — Shaquille O’Neal and Penny Hardaway.

Led by Darrell Armstrong, Bo Outlaw, and Ben Wallace, the “Heart and Hustle” team earned their nickname by playing hard every night, overachieving, and competing for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference until the final week of the regular season. A loss to the Milwaukee Bucks in the second-to-last game of the regular season derailed their playoff hopes, as the Bucks used that game as a springboard to ultimately clinch the No. 8 seed in the East.

It’s way too early to give the “Heart and Hustle II” nickname to this season’s iteration of the Orlando Magic but with each passing game, the temptation grows.

It’s ironic that as things stand now, the Magic lost to the original architect of the “Heart and Hustle” team, the aforementioned Rivers who is the current head coach of the Boston Celtics, in a thrilling game that went down to the wire.

Trailing 58-48 at halftime, Orlando — led by Jameer Nelson — stormed back in the third quarter, using runs of 11-3 and 8-0 to claw back into the game. In the period, Nelson caught fire offensively, torching the Celtics’ defense. Nelson scored in a variety of ways, whether it was off the dribble, in pick-and-rolls, or even in transition.

Thanks to a vintage quarter from Nelson (12 points on 5-for-6 shooting from the floor), what once was a 10-point deficit turned into a 82-80 lead for the Magic heading into the fourth quarter. From there, Orlando and Boston went back-and-forth in the period, exchanging leads until the score was tied at 102 with 1:21 left. The Magic and Celtics each had chances to win the game in regulation down the stretch, but neither team was able to take advantage, thus sending the game into overtime.

After trailing 106-104 in the opening moments of the extra period, Boston used a 12-4 run to come away with the 116-110 victory.

Although Orlando lost, they deserve credit for never giving up and fighting back despite being down for most of the night. That’s been a running theme for the Magic all season and if the trend continues, with some of those losses turning into victories, maybe then the “Heart and Hustle II” nickname will catch on.

MVP (Most Valuable Player)

Rajon Rondo had a near triple-double, finishing with 15 points, 16 assists, nine rebounds, and two steals. Rondo has now had at least 10 assists in 37 consecutive games (tying John Stockton for the NBA record).

X-Factor

Josh McRoberts proved to be a surprising contributor (five points, 14 rebounds, and three blocks), coming off the bench for Orlando and being used in an effective small-ball lineup by Vaughn. The 14 rebounds were a career-high.

That Was … Silly

Rondo has been known to pad his assist totals. Such was the case against the Magic, where on one transition opportunity in the fourth quarter, Rondo passed up a wide open layup to try to get a cheap assist.

Nov 25

Preview: Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic

Essentials

  • Teams: Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic
  • Date: November 25, 2012
  • Time: 6:00 p.m.
  • Television: Fox Sports Florida
  • Arena: Amway Center

Records

  • Celtics: 7-6
  • Magic: 5-7

Probable starters

Celtics:

  • Rajon Rondo
  • Jason Terry
  • Paul Pierce
  • Brandon Bass
  • Kevin Garnett

Magic:

  • Jameer Nelson
  • Arron Afflalo
  • Maurice Harkless
  • Glen Davis
  • Nikola Vucevic

Advanced stats

Celtics:

  • Pace: 92.1 (17th of 30)
  • Offensive Rating: 105.6 (11th of 30)
  • Defensive Rating: 107.0 (24th of 30)

Magic:

  • Pace: 92.2 (15th of 30)
  • Offensive Rating: 97.8 (29th of 30)
  • Defensive Rating: 101.4 (4th of 30)

Read about the Celtics

Celtics Hub

Nov 24

Recap: Orlando Magic 108, Cleveland Cavaliers 104

Photo by Fernando Medina/NBAE via Getty Images

BOX SCORE

Lately, the Nikola Vucevics and Moe Harklesses of the Magic’s roster have been impressing as they’ve worked their way to a record improbably close to .500. But taking on the Kyrie Irving-less Cavs, it was Orlando’s veterans who carried the day.

This game was always going to be ugly. The Magic don’t have a lot of talent as it is and the Cavs were missing their best player. The Magic’s veterans provided key contributions, which ultimately prevailed over the shorthanded Cavs’ relative inexperience. Big Baby did plenty of head-scratching Big Baby things on offense, but he also took advantage of Cavs rookie center Tyler Zeller.

Arron Afflalo looked much more comfortable shooting from deep, an encouraging development given his recent shot-selection issues. He hit one of the biggest shots of the game with just under two minutes on the clock — a three-pointer that gave the Magic a two-possession lead and a little bit of breathing room after a hard-fought battle back from a first-half deficit.

Jameer Nelson had the kind of performance that makes his offseason re-signing seem smart and reminded us how important he can be when healthy. He did a little bit of everything for the Magic, scoring confidently inside and out as well as adding six rebounds and six assists. His three-point shooting (4-for-8) gave the Magic another deep threat other than Afflalo and when coupled with his ability to attack the rim, he made it difficult for the Cavs to respond.

Rookie Dion Waiters has been up-and-down during his rookie season and he had a pretty solid performance, but the Magic did well to make him take 22 shots to get his 25 points.

But it was J.J. Redick who put the game away, even as he went cold from the field. He missed all five shots he took in the fourth quarter after starting the game a perfect 4-for-4. However, he made up for this by nailing eight free throws down the stretch.

The contributions from the Magic’s young players were hit-or-miss. Vucevic did an excellent job countering yet another monster game from Anderson Varejao, finishing with 10 points and 8 rebounds. Andrew Nicholson looked good in his 12 minutes, but foul trouble severely limited his effectiveness. Harkless grabbed three offensive rebounds.

Had Irving played, this game might not have been close. Jeremy Pargo had a good shooting game starting in his place for the Cavs, but he isn’t nearly the ballhandler or distributor Kyrie is. And Pargo was simply overmatched by Nelson. Jameer’s ability to exploit matchup advantages over clearly inferior opponents has proven instrumental in the Magic’s solid start to the season and this victory was no different.

MVP (Most Valuable Player)

Redick’s 18 points weren’t a team-high (Afflalo had 19 and Nelson had 22). But he was a perfect 8-for-8 from the foul line and all eight of those makes came down the stretch, which ultimately put the game away for the Magic.

LVP (Least Valuable Player)

Tristan Thompson had a wholly unremarkable game for the Cavs and got benched down the stretch for rookie Tyler Zeller.

X-Factor

The Magic collected 16 turnovers, many of them avoidable, and somehow only trailed by six at the half. They only turned it over twice in the final two quarters, which was in large part responsible for their pulling out the victory.

Nov 23

Preview: Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Essentials

  • Teams: Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
  • Date: November 23, 2012
  • Time: 7:00 p.m.
  • Television: Fox Sports Florida
  • Arena: Amway Center

Records

  • Cavaliers: 3-8
  • Magic: 4-7

Probable starters

Cavaliers:

  • Jeremy Pargo
  • Dion Waiters
  • Alonzo Gee
  • Tristan Thompson
  • Anderson Varejao

Magic:

  • Jameer Nelson
  • Arron Afflalo
  • Maurice Harkless
  • Glen Davis
  • Nikola Vucevic

Advanced stats

Cavaliers:

  • Pace: 94.1 (3rd of 30)
  • Offensive Rating: 101.4 (23rd of 30)
  • Defensive Rating: 107.3 (27th of 30)

Magic:

  • Pace: 92.3 (16th of 30)
  • Offensive Rating: 95.9 (29th of 30)
  • Defensive Rating: 100.3 (4th of 30)

Read about the Cavaliers

Cavs: The Blog

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